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El-Erian Says Fed Lost Credibility With Markets, American Public

07 Tháng Năm 2022
El-Erian Says Fed Lost Credibility With Markets, American Public © Reuters. El-Erian Says Fed Lost Credibility With Markets, American Public

(Bloomberg) -- Mohamed El-Erian, a closely followed bond-market strategist, says the Federal Reserve has a trust problem with financial markets and the nation over inflation.

“It has a credibility issue with the American people and that is why chair (Jerome) Powell chose to address the American people at the beginning of his press conference” on Wednesday, the chair of Gramercy Fund Management and former chief executive officer of Pimco, said on Bloomberg Television’s The Open on Friday. “It increasingly has a problem with the marketplace.”

El-Erian, a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, added that “it is essential that the Fed regain credibility. It will not do so until it does what the ECB did last week, tell us why the inflation forecasts were so wrong for so long and how to improve the inflation methodology.”

In July, El-Erian predicted that inflation, at the time running at a 5.4% annualized pace, wouldn’t be as transitory as the central bank was projecting. U.S. headline inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index is now at 8.5%.

His critique on Friday touched as well on Powell, who said Wednesday that a 75-basis-point hike is not being “actively” considered. The Fed since 2020 kept rates as low as zero in response to shutdowns in the economy that happened as the pandemic surged.

“You cannot come on TV and speak about all the uncertainties and then rule out a certain policy response -- 75 basis points,” El-Erian said. “We don’t know enough about the path of inflation to rule out certain policy actions at this point.”

Turbulence in financial markets has increased since the Fed meeting, with big declines in stocks and the Treasury 10-year yield staying above 3%, a level visited this week for the first time since 2018.

“The mess we’re seeing in the market is about liquidity,” said El-Erian. “I’m willing to put my neck out and say we have mostly priced in interest rate risk. We haven’t priced liquidity risk, we haven’t priced credit risk, we haven’t priced market functioning risk. We are still in the process of pricing it. The days of abundant and predictable liquidity are gone.”

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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23-05-2022 13:25:27 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0605

+0.0045 (+0.43%)

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EUR/USD

1.0605

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GBP/USD

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USD/JPY

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US Coffee C Futures

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Euro Stoxx 50

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6.852

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 EUR/USD1.0605↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2569↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.84Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7111↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2789Sell
 EUR/JPY135.55↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0313↑ Buy
 Gold1,853.74↑ Buy
 Silver21.956↑ Buy
 Copper4.3195↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI111.05↑ Sell
 Brent Oil110.78↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.187↑ Sell
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,504.50↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,773.27↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,880/ 6,980
(5/ 5) # 1,771
SJC HCM6,895/ 6,985
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SJC Hanoi6,895/ 6,987
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SJC Nhatrang6,895/ 6,987
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RON 95-V30.58031.190
RON 95-III29.98030.570
E5 RON 92-II28.95029.520
DO 0.05S26.65027.180
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR23.899,8625.238,69
GBP28.277,1029.483,51
JPY176,47186,83
KRW15,8019,25
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