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ECB could reach neutral rate by year end - Villeroy

Thursday, September 15, 2022

PARIS (Reuters) -ECB interest rates could reach the level where they neither stimulate nor slow the economy by the end of the year, French ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday.

Villeroy, who is also head of the French central bank, said that while it was too early to say at what level the policy normalisation cycle would end, the neutral rate - sometimes called R* by economists - shed some light on the way forward.

"I believe that in the euro area R* can be estimated as below or close to 2% in nominal terms, and we could be there by the end of the year," Villeroy told the International Monetary Fund in Washington.

"Until then, we definitely have to act, in a determined but orderly way."

The ECB raised rates by an unprecedented 75 basis points on Thursday just weeks after a 50 basis point move and promised several more steps over the coming months as euro zone inflation was at its highest rate in nearly a half a century and at risk of becoming entrenched.

Villeroy added that the ECB would only shift from normalising interest rates to tightening beyond the neutral rate if that proved to be necessary.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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↑ Sell

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EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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↑ Sell

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GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

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Indicators:

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USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

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0.9808

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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