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Dollar's five-week winning streak ends as risk sentiment rebounds

By John McCrank NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar edged lower against a basket of major currencies on Friday, on track to end its five-week winning streak, as global risk appetite...
Dollar's five-week winning streak ends as risk sentiment rebounds © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An employee counts U.S. dollar bills at a money exchange in central Cairo, Egypt, March 20, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany./File Photo

By John McCrank

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar edged lower against a basket of major currencies on Friday, on track to end its five-week winning streak, as global risk appetite rebounded, helping reduce demand for the safe-haven currency.

Global stock markets have rallied this week as fears about a stagflationary economy have been eased by forecast-beating corporate earnings in the United States.

Unexpectedly strong U.S. retail sales data for September also boosted sentiment. Retail sales rose 0.7% last month, versus expectations of a 0.2% decline, helped in part by higher prices.

"The risk appetite here remains really, really strong for the time being," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.

"That's helping the high beta currencies like the pound, the euro and the Aussie, simply because the market is feeling much more positive," he said.

The dollar index initially firmed after the retail sales data, but then trended lower and was last down 0.106% at 93.941. The greenback was down 0.19% for the week, after having appreciated for the previous five weeks, and hitting a one-year high of 94.563 on Tuesday.

The big run-up in dollar strength, based on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may begin hiking rates sooner than had been anticipated, may have been overblown, and the dollar is now consolidating, said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.

"Next week will help clarify whether we are consolidating, and whether the consolidation is just like a breath that refreshes or is a prelude for a correction," he said.

The greenback had rallied against its major peers since early September on expectations the U.S. central bank would tighten monetary policy more quickly than previously expected amid an improving economy and surging energy prices.

Minutes of the Fed's September meeting confirmed this week that a tapering of stimulus is all but certain to start this year, although policymakers are sharply divided over inflation and what they should do about it.

Money markets are currently pricing in about 50/50 odds of a 25 basis point rate hike by July.

Sterling rose 0.57% to $1.3765, hitting its highest since Sept. 17, while the euro edged down 0.03% to $1.1595 after touching $1.1624 on Thursday for the first time since Sept. 4.

The risk-sensitive Aussie dollar added 0.02% to $0.7417, having climbed to $0.7439 earlier in the session. New Zealand's dollar jumped 0.54% to $0.7068, extending Thursday's 1% surge.

The Japanese yen was the biggest loser, dropping to as low as 114.46 yen per dollar, its weakest since October 2018. The yen is a safe-haven currency and has been knocked by the rebound in risk sentiment including in Asia. The dollar was last up 0.53% against the yen at 114.28 yen.

In cryptocurrency markets, the price of bitcoin topped $60,000 for the first time in six months and was not far from its record high on bets U.S. regulators will approve a bitcoin futures exchange traded fund.

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

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GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

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USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

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USD/CAD

1.3543

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

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EUR/JPY

163.37

+0.12 (+0.07%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9738

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

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Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

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16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

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Neutral

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US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

28.43

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

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Adidas AG

207.00

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7.281

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176.96

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14.582

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 EUR/USD1.0793Sell
 GBP/USD1.2624Sell
 USD/JPY151.38↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6522Sell
 USD/CAD1.3543Buy
 EUR/JPY163.37↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9738↑ Buy
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
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SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
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Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
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$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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