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Dollar Weakens as Treasury Yields Drop; Sterling Retains Strength

By Peter Nurse AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar retreated in early European trading Tuesday with risk sentiment on the rise, while sterling retained its recent gains after the U.K....
Dollar Weakens as Treasury Yields Drop; Sterling Retains Strength © Reuters
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By Peter Nurse

AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar retreated in early European trading Tuesday with risk sentiment on the rise, while sterling retained its recent gains after the U.K. government’s policy u-turn.

At 03:05 ET (07:05 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, fell 0.5% to 111.145, dropping to a two-week low.

Traders are beginning to wonder if the slowdown visible in the U.S. and world economies will force the Federal Reserve to adjust its rate-hiking trajectory lower.

This has driven a sharp rally in government bonds over the last week, driving benchmark Treasury yields down all along the yield curve, a move which has continued Tuesday.

The 10-year Treasury yield currently stands at 3.60%, down another 5 basis points from Monday's close, while the 2-year yield, more sensitive to expectations of Fed action, was down 7 basis points at 4.03%.

That said, Goldman Sachs still sees upside for the dollar.

“While valuations have become stretched, they are also consistent with the macro environment, and so we still see more dollar strength ahead,” analysts at the investment bank said, in a note. ”We still think 5%-7% of further dollar upside seems like a reasonable range along a more hawkish policy path from the Fed." 

GBP/USD climbed 0.5% to $1.1375 in the wake of the British government’s decision to reverse the proposed scrapping of the highest rate of income tax.

New Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng also announced he would be bringing forward his fiscal statement in an attempt to calm markets as he is likely to announce spending cuts to try and limit the government’s borrowing.

Britain's bond market is undergoing "a major repricing", but should comfortably absorb the extra 62 billion pounds ($69 billion) of debt announced, the head of the U.K. Debt Management Office said on Monday.

Elsewhere, EUR/USD rose 0.4% to 0.9864, ahead of the release of the latest producer prices for the Eurozone as a whole for August. These are expected to remain at highly elevated levels, increasing the pressure on the European Central Bank to continue with another hefty interest rate rise later this month.

USD/JPY rose 0.1% to 144.65, remaining close to the psychologically-important 145 level after data showed that inflation in Tokyo rose to an eight-year high in September.

AUD/USD rose 0.4% to 0.6541, gaining even after the Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates by a lower-than-expected 25 basis points, saying it intends to maintain a balance between curbing inflation and ensuring that sharp hikes in interest rates do not dampen economic growth.  

NZD/USD climbed 0.5% to 0.5749, ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy-setting meeting on Wednesday, which is expected to result in interest rates rising by half a percentage point for a fifth straight time

 

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

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85.62

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

-0.009 (-0.46%)

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213.73

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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Sell

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

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Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

+0.30 (+0.11%)

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Adidas AG

226.40

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

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15.010

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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