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Dollar steadies as U.S. spending points to rate hikes

Thursday, November 17, 2022
Dollar steadies as U.S. spending points to rate hikes © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar caught its footing on Thursday as strong U.S. retail data cast doubt on market bets that inflation is in retreat and U.S. interest rates need not rise too much further.

The euro was also firm after NATO said a missile that crashed inside Poland was probably a stray fired by Ukraine's air defences, and not a Russian strike.

At $1.0394, the euro was close to breaking above its 200-day moving average. The Australian and New Zealand dollars fell slightly overnight, in response to the U.S. data, and were steady in morning trade on Thursday.

The Aussie last bought $0.6742 and the kiwi $0.6152. The Japanese yen hovered at 139.25 per dollar, while the Chinese yuan nursed losses at 7.1033 per dollar after China's central bank promised to keep local liquidity ample and to guide commercial loan growth.

On Wednesday U.S. data showed October retail sales rose 1.3%, compared with economist expectations for 1.0%, a healthy signal but one that dented hopes for a pause in rate increases.

"Markets have positioned for the Fed to pivot," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) currency strategist Kim Mundy. "The U.S. retail sales data very much challenges that narrative ... the U.S. economy is driven by the consumer and if the consumer is still spending, it suggests it's going to take inflation longer to ease."

This year's long rally in the U.S. dollar made a sharp reversal last week when U.S. inflation came in a bit cooler than expected and stoked bets the pace of price rises has peaked.

Hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials overnight also put some cold water on hopes for a shift, though, with San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly - until recently one of the most dovish officials - saying a pause was off the table.

Kansas City Fed President Esther George told the Wall Street Journal that policymakers must be "careful not to stop too soon" on rate increases and that avoiding a recession might be difficult.

The Treasury market is indicating a slowdown is expected, with 10-year U.S. government bonds yielding 67 basis points less than two-year bonds and that gap nearing levels last reached in 2000. [US/]

The Aussie dollar didn't catch much of an immediate boost from stronger-than-expected jobs data. Sterling was steady at $1.1918 in Asia. The U.S. dollar index found support at 106.31, after falling as low as 105.3 on Tuesday.

It is up 11% this year.

Later on Thursday the British finance minister is due to provide a budget update, with markets focused on what the timing of government spending cuts might mean for inflation and rates.

Comments from a number of Fed and other central bank officials will also be closely watched. Indonesia's central bank meets to set policy and a 50 basis point hike is expected.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0039 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.0390 $1.0395 -0.05% -8.61% +1.0397 +1.0389

Dollar/Yen

139.4400 139.4700 -0.07% +0.00% +139.4800 +139.3750

Euro/Yen

144.89 145.02 -0.09% +11.18% +145.0500 +144.7300

Dollar/Swiss

0.9443 0.9452 -0.07% +3.54% +0.9445 +0.9440

Sterling/Dollar

1.1908 1.1913 +0.04% -11.88% +1.1918 +1.1914

Dollar/Canadian

1.3333 1.3328 +0.02% +5.43% +1.3336 +1.3325

Aussie/Dollar

0.6736 0.6741 -0.07% -7.33% +0.6746 +0.6734

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.6137 0.6146 -0.10% -10.29% +0.6152 +0.6140

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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EUR/USD

1.0402

-0.0006 (-0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0402

-0.0006 (-0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2095

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

139.12

+0.51 (+0.36%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

AUD/USD

0.6751

-0.0013 (-0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3377

+0.0040 (+0.30%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

144.66

+0.40 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9835

+0.0019 (+0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,755.00

+9.40 (+0.54%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

21.480

+0.113 (+0.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6175

-0.0005 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.55

-1.39 (-1.78%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

83.91

-1.43 (-1.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Natural Gas Futures

6.802

-0.506 (-6.92%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

US Coffee C Futures

164.40

+1.65 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,962.41

+0.42 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,026.12

-1.14 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

DAX

14,541.38

+1.82 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,486.67

+20.07 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,573.58

-87.32 (-0.49%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

US Small Cap 2000

1,869.19

+6.37 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,416.60

+37.20 (+0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.605

-0.280 (-0.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

55.45

-0.06 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

205.35

+0.40 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

123.98

-2.68 (-2.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.567

+0.036 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

132.06

+1.10 (+0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.390

+0.020 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0402 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2095 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 139.12 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6751 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3377 Sell  
    EUR/JPY 144.66 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9835 Neutral  
    Gold 1,755.00 Sell  
    Silver 21.480 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.6175 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.55 Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.91 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.802 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 164.40 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,962.41 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,026.12 Neutral  
    DAX 14,541.38 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,486.67 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,573.58 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,869.19 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,416.60 Sell  
    BASF 49.605 Neutral  
    Bayer 55.45 Sell  
    Allianz 205.35 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 123.98 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 7.567 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 132.06 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.390 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,660/ 6,730
(0/ 0) # 1,488
SJC HCM6,660/ 6,760
(-10/ -10) # 1,510
SJC Hanoi6,660/ 6,762
(-10/ -10) # 1,512
SJC Danang6,660/ 6,762
(-10/ -10) # 1,512
SJC Nhatrang6,660/ 6,762
(-10/ -10) # 1,512
SJC Cantho6,660/ 6,762
(-10/ -10) # 1,512
Cập nhật 26-11-2022 19:45:33
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,754.60 -0.88 -0.05%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.91025.400
RON 95-III23.78024.250
E5 RON 92-II22.67023.120
DO 0.05S24.80025.290
DO 0,001S-V26.78027.310
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.64025.130
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $76.55 +2.23 2.91%
Brent $83.84 +1.91 2.28%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.570,0024.840,00
EUR25.158,7926.565,16
GBP29.229,5930.473,22
JPY173,58183,74
KRW16,1719,70
Cập nhật lúc 18:00:47 26/11/2022
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