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Dollar slides as investors balance positions ahead of U.S. inflation data

10 Tháng Chín 2022
Dollar slides as investors balance positions ahead of U.S. inflation data

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar fell to a more than one-week low on Friday as investors consolidated gains after a sharp rise against most currencies, ahead of a U.S. inflation report that could determine the size of the Federal Reserve's rate hike at this month's policy meeting.

On the week, the dollar index, which tracks the greenback's value against six major peers, posted its first weekly fall in four on Friday.

"Markets are getting a little nervous about levels, really historic levels, so the market decided not to push the dollar's strength at this juncture and lightened up positions," said Greg Anderson, global head of FX strategy, at BMO Capital Markets in New York.

"Probably position-taking will be light until the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting. The market looked at everything overnight and decided that this is a good juncture to square up and that process has brought the dollar lower. But this is not a reversal of the trend on dollar strength," he added.

The greenback this week soared to a 24-year high against the yen, a 37-year peak versus sterling, wit the dollar index surging to a more than 20-year high.

On Friday, the dollar index dropped as low as 108.35 and was last down 0.5% at 108.96.

U.S. rate futures are pricing in an 87% chance of the Fed hiking by 75 bps hike this month, with fresh U.S. consumer price data next week likely to be closely watched.

Capital Economics expects the CPI to continue to edge lower.

"We think falling inflation in the U.S. is consistent with our view that the backdrop remains favorable for the dollar, as it stands to benefit from higher real rates while the global economy slows," wrote Jonathan Petersen, Capital Economics senior markets economist wrote in its latest research note.

One of the big gainers was the euro, which leapt as much as 1.2% to a three-week high of $1.0114, a day after the European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by an unprecedented 75 basis points (bps).

It was last up 0.5% at $1.0045.

Europe still faces a weak economic outlook, with sky-high energy prices squeezing consumers and businesses. European Union energy ministers were split on Friday over whether to cap Russian gas prices, as they met to work out steps to shield citizens.

Currencies perceived as riskier bets also benefited from an improvement in market sentiment to end the week, reflected in gains across European and U.S. stock markets.

Sterling gained 0.8% to $1.1592, after a modest dip the previous day following the death of Queen Elizabeth.

The Bank of England said on Friday it would delay its next monetary policy meeting by one week due to the period of royal mourning.

The Japanese yen posted its best daily gain in a month, up 1% at 142.675 yen per dollar, as it clawed away from recent 24-year lows.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Friday rapid yen moves were undesirable after a meeting with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

The Australian dollar also had its best daily rise in a month, up 1.3% versus the U.S. dollar to US$0.6850, also rebounding from deep lows.

Even beaten down cryptocurrencies advanced at the dollar's expense, with bitcoin up more than 10% at $21,300.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:31PM (1931 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 108.9700 109.5200 -0.48% 13.910% +109.5400 +108.3500

Euro/Dollar $1.0045 $0.9999 +0.48% -11.63% +$1.0114 +$0.9993

Dollar/Yen 142.7150 144.1100 -0.96% +23.98% +144.1000 +141.5050

Euro/Yen 143.36 144.06 -0.49% +10.01% +144.7200 +142.6500

Dollar/Swiss 0.9608 0.9704 -0.98% +5.33% +0.9702 +0.9548

Sterling/Dollar $1.1591 $1.1498 +0.82% -14.29% +$1.1647 +$1.1499

Dollar/Canadian 1.3030 1.3092 -0.48% +3.05% +1.3094 +1.2982

Aussie/Dollar $0.6842 $0.6751 +1.36% -5.87% +$0.6877 +$0.6748

Euro/Swiss 0.9649 0.9701 -0.54% -6.92% +0.9727 +0.9634

Euro/Sterling 0.8663 0.8688 -0.29% +3.15% +0.8707 +0.8660

NZ $0.6104 $0.6056 +0.83% -10.79% +$0.6152 +$0.6055

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 9.9150 10.0530 -1.39% +12.53% +10.0410 +9.8455

Euro/Norway 9.9593 10.0394 -0.80% -0.54% +10.0551 +9.9442

Dollar/Sweden 10.6195 10.7038 -0.32% +17.76% +10.7093 +10.5194

Euro/Sweden 10.6630 10.6971 -0.32% +4.19% +10.7128 +10.6290

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30-09-2022 19:52:16 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9764

-0.0050 (-0.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

0.9764

-0.0050 (-0.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.1083

-0.0032 (-0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

144.49

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6477

-0.0022 (-0.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.3725

+0.0048 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

EUR/JPY

141.09

-0.69 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9556

-0.0019 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,674.45

+5.85 (+0.35%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

18.942

+0.230 (+1.23%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

3.4245

+0.0065 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.70

-0.53 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

86.56

-0.62 (-0.71%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

6.853

-0.021 (-0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

US Coffee C Futures

222.65

-3.05 (-1.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,292.35

+13.31 (+0.41%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

3,640.47

-78.57 (-2.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

DAX

12,042.82

+67.27 (+0.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

6,880.97

-0.62 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,671.71

-43.54 (-2.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,351.60

+51.50 (+0.71%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.535

+0.685 (+1.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

47.37

-0.35 (-0.73%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.17

+1.55 (+0.97%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

117.84

-6.18 (-4.98%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.947

+0.130 (+2.23%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

100.13

+1.87 (+1.90%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.631

+0.037 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD0.9764Buy
 GBP/USD1.1083↑ Buy
 USD/JPY144.49↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6477Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3725↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY141.09↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9556↑ Sell
 Gold1,674.45Neutral
 Silver18.942Sell
 Copper3.4245↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI80.70↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.56Buy
 Natural Gas6.853↑ Sell
 US Coffee C222.65↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,292.35Sell
 S&P 5003,640.47Neutral
 DAX12,042.82Neutral
 FTSE 1006,880.97↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,222.83↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,671.71Buy
 IBEX 357,351.60Sell
 BASF39.535↑ Buy
 Bayer47.37↑ Sell
 Allianz161.17↑ Buy
 Adidas117.84Sell
 Lufthansa5.947Buy
 Siemens AG100.13↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.631↑ Buy
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