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Dollar rises on Ukraine crisis as investors await Fed meeting

By Stefano Rebaudo (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a two-week peak on Tuesday as tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine drew investors to safe-haven currencies while...
Dollar rises on Ukraine crisis as investors await Fed meeting © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pound and U.S. dollar bills are seen in this illustration taken January 6, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Stefano Rebaudo

(Reuters) - The dollar rose to a two-week peak on Tuesday as tensions between Russia and the West over Ukraine drew investors to safe-haven currencies while awaiting the outcome of this week's U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting.

Russia said it was watching with great concern after the United States put 8,500 troops on alert to deploy to Europe in the event of an escalation in the Ukraine crisis.

“Much greater exposure of European economies to the crisis does not make the euro a particularly attractive vehicle to ride out the current storm,” ING analysts said.

The euro was down 0.4% at $1.1281 by 1121 GMT for its weakest level since Jan. 5.

The dollar index rose 0.3% to a two-week high of 96.19.

The Fed could firm up plans to raise interest rates and shrink its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities, which have swollen its balance sheet past $8 trillion. The Fed meeting ends on Wednesday.

Analyst views on the meeting are mixed, with Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) flagging a potentially hawkish surprise over the coming months, with the possibility of a rate increase in March and as many as six or seven increases this year.

But ING analysts say that if the Fed’s balance sheet reduction does the heavy lifting of policy normalisation, that could scale back forecasts for the number of rate hikes.

Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) said that “markets are likely to remain nervous in the run-up to tomorrow’s meeting, but we do not expect any new insights”.

Money markets are pricing an 85% chance of a Fed rate rise of 25 basis points in March and three more to 1.0% by the end of the year. [IRPR]

The safe-haven yen gained 0.2% against the euro and fell 0.2% against the dollar, remaining within striking distance of one-month highs.

But Friday's CFTC data showed that speculators held 11 times more gross yen short contracts than gross yen longs in the week ended Jan. 18, with the balance falling by about 10% from the previous week to 80,879.

The Swiss Franc was down 0.2% against the euro at 1.0374, just off the 1.0298 it hit recently for its strongest since 2015.

GRAPHIC - swissfranc

https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/byprjmzjlpe/Pasted%20image%201643105575023.png

"It is possible that the Swiss National Bank will also have a rethink and it could remain tolerant towards a stronger franc for some time yet. However, we simply cannot be sure," Commerzbank analysts said.

CFTC data shows that gross Swiss franc long contracts numbered only 925, down from 4,571 the previous week.

Bitcoin, which has almost halved in value since touching a record high of $69,000 in November, lost 1% to trade around $36,412. Meanwhile, ether, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, was down 0.8% at $2,424.

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29-03-2024 15:29:26 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0773

-0.0014 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0773

-0.0014 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2622

0.0001 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

USD/JPY

151.36

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

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AUD/USD

0.6510

-0.0004 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3552

+0.0014 (+0.10%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

163.05

-0.20 (-0.12%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9721

-0.0007 (-0.07%)

Summary

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

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Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

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Neutral

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US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

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Adidas AG

207.00

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

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↑ Sell

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Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

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 EUR/USD1.0773↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2622Buy
 USD/JPY151.36↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6510↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3552↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY163.05↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9721Neutral
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(30/ 30) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
(0/ 0) # 1,384
SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
Cập nhật 29-03-2024 15:29:28
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$82.82+5.390.07%
Brent$86.82+5.180.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 15:24:07 29/03/2024
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