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Dollar holds near two-decade high before U.S. inflation data

By Kevin Buckland TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-decade high against major peers on Wednesday, ahead of a key reading on inflation that should provide clues on...
Dollar holds near two-decade high before U.S. inflation data © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-decade high against major peers on Wednesday, ahead of a key reading on inflation that should provide clues on how aggressive the Federal Reserve will be in tightening monetary policy.

The dollar index, which measures the currency versus six rivals, slipped slightly to 103.81, but still not far from the high of 104.49 reached at the start of the week for the first time since December 2002.

The euro rose a touch to $1.05405, but has mostly traded sideways since plumbing a more than five-year low at $1.04695 at the end of last month.

The yen continued to get some respite from a pause in the recent relentless rise in benchmark U.S. Treasury yields, trading little changed at 130.36 per dollar, after dipping to a more than two-decade low of 131.35 on Monday.

Investors will be closely watching the April U.S. consumer price index reading later on Wednesday for any signs inflation may be starting to cool, with expectations calling for a 8.1% annual increase compared with an 8.5% rise recorded in March.

After the Fed raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by 50 basis points last week, the largest hike in 22 years, investors have been attempting to assess how aggressive the central bank will be.

Markets are priced for another hike of at least 50 basis points at the central bank's June meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

"We remain of the view that the broad U.S. dollar rise will continue as the Fed executes its 'super-tightening,'" strategists at Westpac wrote in a research report.

"Look for ongoing demand for (the dollar index) on dips, with 104 already being probed and still potential for a run towards 107 multi-week."

The greenback has climbed nearly 9% this year amid an increasingly hawkish Fed, as inflation burned hotter than policymakers had expected.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) also sees the risk tilted to further gains from here.

"The USD's reaction to the CPI will be asymmetrical in our view," CBA currency strategist Joseph Capurso wrote in a client note.

"A positive surprise will encourage markets to increase pricing for a 75 (basis point) increase in the Funds rate later in the year and support the USD, while a negative surprise will keep pricing for 50bp increases in June and July intact and leave the USD steady."

The euro "remains heavy" above $1.05, he wrote, and a strong CPI print could push the Australian dollar below $0.69.

The Aussie climbed 0.25% to $0.69595 on Wednesday, after touching a 22-month trough of $0.6911 earlier in the week.

New Zealand's kiwi dollar gained 0.22% to $0.63075, but remained not far from the previous session's nearly two-year low of $0.6277.

CBA sees the potential for a further 5 U.S. cent drop in both Antipodean currencies if strict COVID-19 lockdowns continue for several more months in key trade partner China, although fundamentals point to "large gains by year-end" for Aussie and kiwi after the lockdowns end.

Meanwhile, sterling struggled near a 22-month low at $1.2262 from the start of the week, last trading 0.1% higher at $1.2334.

Bitcoin nursed its wounds after dropping to the cusp of $30,000 this week for the first time since July of last year, last changing hands about 2% higher at $31,600.

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22-05-2022 02:20:07 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2489

+0.0029 (+0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

127.86

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.7039

-0.0008 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.2839

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

135.05

-0.24 (-0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

1.0296

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,845.10

+3.90 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

21.765

-0.143 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Copper Futures

4.3042

+0.0212 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.35

+0.46 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Brent Oil Futures

112.91

+0.87 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

8.058

-0.250 (-3.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

216.48

-2.22 (-1.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,657.03

+16.48 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,901.36

+0.57 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,981.91

+99.61 (+0.72%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,389.98

+87.24 (+1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,717.24

+596.56 (+2.96%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Small Cap 2000

1,768.35

-7.87 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,484.50

+78.50 (+0.93%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.850

-0.010 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

63.74

+0.34 (+0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

195.58

+0.78 (+0.40%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

172.80

+0.92 (+0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.852

+0.049 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

115.08

+2.62 (+2.33%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.362

-0.130 (-1.37%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0562↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2489Neutral
 USD/JPY127.86Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7039Sell
 USD/CAD1.2839↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY135.05Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0296↑ Buy
 Gold1,845.10↑ Buy
 Silver21.765↑ Sell
 Copper4.3042↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.35↑ Sell
 Brent Oil112.91↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.058↑ Sell
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,717.24↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,768.35↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,875/ 6,975
(6,875/ 6,975) # 1,795
SJC HCM6,895/ 6,985
(0/ 0) # 1,800
SJC Hanoi6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,802
SJC Danang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,802
SJC Nhatrang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,802
SJC Cantho6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,802
Cập nhật 22-05-2022 02:20:10
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RON 95-V30.58031.190
RON 95-III29.98030.570
E5 RON 92-II28.95029.520
DO 0.05S26.65027.180
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.000,0023.310,00
EUR23.879,5425.217,23
GBP28.128,1029.328,16
JPY176,49186,84
KRW15,8019,26
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:43 21/05/2022
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