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Dollar drifts higher as U.S. inflation data looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began a busy data week on a firm footing, with immediate focus turning to U.S. inflation figures but investors are also wary of...
Dollar drifts higher as U.S. inflation data looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began a busy data week on a firm footing, with immediate focus turning to U.S. inflation figures but investors are also wary of the Federal Reserve priming to exit from its super-supportive policy stance even as COVID-19 cases surge.

The greenback inched higher in Asia after logging its best week in three on Friday, benefiting both from safety flows and the policy outlook lifting U.S. Treasury yields.

Moves were modest but the euro fell back under $1.18 to $1.1792. The dollar also made small gains on the Australian and New Zealand dollars and marginal rises against the yen and sterling -- last buying 109.96 yen.

"A couple of dynamics favour the dollar," said Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY) in Sydney, noting growing risk aversion as even highly vaccinated countries such as Singapore and Britain log surges in COVID-19 cases.

"Re-opening still faces challenges from the consumer, who is cautious and from bottlenecks which restrict ability for the economy to rebound with some gusto," he said.

"At the same time rising infections suggest we may still need to reintroduce restrictions of some sort. The other thing is that the Fed continues to signal that tapering is coming."

By 0520 GMT the Australian dollar was 0.2% weaker at $0.7337 -- and it has struggled to hold over $0.74 -- while the kiwi was down 0.4% at $0.71 as a lockdown of Auckland was extended until midnight on Sept. 21.

The dollar index rose 0.1% to 92.739.

U.S. consumer price data on Tuesday is the next major focus for FX traders, along with U.S. retail sales and production figures later in the week as they frame the economy's progress in the lead-up to the Federal Reserve's Sept. 21-22 meeting.

Core consumer price inflation is expected to slow a tad to 4.2%.

However, with Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, in a Nikkei interview https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/Interview/Start-tapering-soon-inflation-may-be-long-lived-Philadelphia-Fed-chief on Monday, joining a chorus of policymakers keen to begin scaling back asset purchases, bond traders seem to think a slowdown won't be enough to delay tapering much.

Ten-year Treasuries were sold for a third straight week last week - the longest streak since yields lurched higher in February and March. The 10-year yield was last at 1.3326%. [US/]

"My baseline forecast is still to have inflation around 4% this year, ending this year, and then starting to fall back to 2% over the years 2022 and 2023. However, I do see elevated risk that inflation could run higher," Harker told the Nikkei.

"I'd like to start the taper process soon, so that we can finish the tapering process, so if we need to increase the policy rate, we have the room to do that. And I think we need to buy ourselves that option."

Also ahead on the calendar are Chinese economic data, likely to highlight wobbly retail sales on Wednesday and further add to concerns about the world's second biggest economy.

The yuan slipped slightly to 6.4550 per dollar, in line with stocks following news of Beijing's latest regulatory measures aimed at the tech sector. Those steps included a reported breakup of Ant's Alipay and new protections for workers at ride-hailing and delivery firms.

Elsewhere, sterling fell 0.1% to $1.3816 while cryptocurrencies were under pressure.

Bitcoin fell 3% to $44,637 and has struggled to find traction above its 20-day and 200-day moving averages.

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19-09-2021 18:12:42 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1724

-0.0040 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.1724

-0.0040 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.3736

-0.0052 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

110.00

+0.29 (+0.27%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7267

-0.0022 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2768

+0.0088 (+0.69%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

128.97

-0.08 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

1.0933

+0.0022 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,753.95

-2.75 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.358

-0.436 (-1.91%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

4.2393

-0.0422 (-0.99%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

71.97

-0.59 (-0.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

75.31

-0.36 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

5.061

-0.274 (-5.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

186.75

-1.40 (-0.74%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,130.84

-39.03 (-0.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,432.99

-40.76 (-0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

DAX

15,490.17

-161.58 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

6,963.64

-63.84 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

24,920.76

+252.91 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,233.92

+1.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

8,760.90

+27.20 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

63.085

-2.125 (-3.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

45.07

-0.57 (-1.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

190.23

-2.24 (-1.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Adidas AG

281.60

-3.70 (-1.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.210

+0.209 (+2.61%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

148.76

-1.28 (-0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.080

-0.025 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

 EUR/USD1.1724↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3736↑ Buy
 USD/JPY110.00Sell
 AUD/USD0.7267↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2768Neutral
 EUR/JPY128.97↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0933↑ Sell
 Gold1,753.95↑ Buy
 Silver22.358Sell
 Copper4.2393↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI71.97↑ Buy
 Brent Oil75.31↑ Buy
 Natural Gas5.061↑ Sell
 US Coffee C186.75Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,130.84↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,432.99Neutral
 DAX15,490.17↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,963.64↑ Buy
 Hang Seng24,920.76↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,233.92↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,760.90↑ Sell
 BASF63.085↑ Sell
 Bayer45.07↑ Sell
 Allianz190.23↑ Sell
 Adidas281.60↑ Sell
 Lufthansa8.210Neutral
 Siemens AG148.76↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.080↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank5,600/ 5,665
(5,600/ 5,665) # 809
SJC HCM5,600/ 5,665
(0/ 0) # 830
SJC Hanoi5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Danang5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Nhatrang5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Cantho5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
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RON 95-IV2149021910
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E5 RON 92-II2014020540
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JPY202,13213,83
KRW16,7120,34
Cập nhật lúc 18:08:14 19/09/2021
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