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Dollar drifts after soft inflation, Chinese data weighs on Asian currencies

By Kevin Buckland TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar held recent ranges against peers on Wednesday after softer-than-expected U.S. inflation figures tempered immediate expectations...
Dollar drifts after soft inflation, Chinese data weighs on Asian currencies © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar held recent ranges against peers on Wednesday after softer-than-expected U.S. inflation figures tempered immediate expectations about Federal Reserve tapering while disappointing Chinese data weighed on the yuan and Aussie.

The dollar index stood at 92.632, little changed from Tuesday, when it dropped following the inflation data only to recover on haven demand as stocks slid on Wall Street.

The index has meandered between 92.3 and 92.9 over the past week as several Fed officials have suggested the U.S. central bank could reduce its buying of debt securities by the end of the year, even after a much-weaker-than-expected payrolls report at the start of the month.

While elevated inflation has kept pressure on policymakers, data overnight showed the U.S. consumer price index, excluding the volatile food and energy components, edged up just 0.1% last month.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds its monetary policy meeting next week, with investors keen to find out whether a tapering announcement will be made.

Tapering tends to benefit the dollar as it suggests the Fed is one step closer toward tighter monetary policy. It also means the central bank will be buying fewer debt assets, effectively reducing the number of dollars in circulation.

"The softer print eases concerns over an imminent acceleration in prices and should nullify any lingering pressure on the Fed to taper in September," Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY), wrote in a client note.

"But a taper this year still looks like a good bet, with November or December now looking more likely."

Even so, NAB predicts that the focus of global growth is shifting away from the United States, pushing the currency down to $1.23 versus the euro by year-end.

One euro bought $1.1808 on Wednesday, mostly flat from the previous session.

European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane speaks at the IMFS webinar later in the global day.

The dollar slipped slightly to 109.595 yen, keeping close to the centre of the trading range of the past two months.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) is more bullish on the dollar's prospects, predicting that accelerating employment costs in the United States will keep consumer prices elevated.

"Above‑target inflation will prove more persistent than the FOMC expects," Carol Kong, a strategist at CBA, wrote in a report.

"The implication is the FOMC will likely need to raise the Funds rate by more than what markets are currently expecting, which could support the USD down the track."

Meanwhile, the yuan and the Australian dollar were knocked lower after Chinese data showed factory and retail sales growth cooled more sharply than expected last month. [L1N2QH08P]

Adding to the broader China worries in financial markets was a media report that embattled property developer China Evergrande Group won't be able to make interest payments on its debt next week.

The yuan extended its decline for the day to as far as 6.4433 yuan per dollar before trading about 0.1% weaker at 6.4410, threatening to snap a five-day string of gains.

The Aussie sank as low as $0.73015 for the first time in more than two weeks following China's data, but recovered to be little changed at $0.7320.

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19-09-2021 18:38:31 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1724

-0.0040 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.1724

-0.0040 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.3736

-0.0052 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

110.00

+0.29 (+0.27%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7267

-0.0022 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2768

+0.0088 (+0.69%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

128.97

-0.08 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

1.0933

+0.0022 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,753.95

-2.75 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.358

-0.436 (-1.91%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

4.2393

-0.0422 (-0.99%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

71.82

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

75.31

-0.36 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

5.061

-0.274 (-5.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

186.75

-1.40 (-0.74%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,130.84

-39.03 (-0.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,432.99

-40.76 (-0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

DAX

15,490.17

-161.58 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

6,963.64

-63.84 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

24,920.76

+252.91 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,233.92

+1.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

8,760.90

+27.20 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

63.085

-2.125 (-3.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

45.07

-0.57 (-1.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

190.23

-2.24 (-1.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Adidas AG

281.60

-3.70 (-1.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

8.210

+0.209 (+2.61%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

148.76

-1.28 (-0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.080

-0.025 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

 EUR/USD1.1724↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3736↑ Buy
 USD/JPY110.00Sell
 AUD/USD0.7267↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2768Neutral
 EUR/JPY128.97↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0933↑ Sell
 Gold1,753.95↑ Buy
 Silver22.358Sell
 Copper4.2393↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI71.82↑ Buy
 Brent Oil75.31↑ Buy
 Natural Gas5.061↑ Sell
 US Coffee C186.75Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,130.84↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,432.99Neutral
 DAX15,490.17↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,963.64↑ Buy
 Hang Seng24,920.76↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,233.92↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,760.90↑ Sell
 BASF63.085↑ Sell
 Bayer45.07↑ Sell
 Allianz190.23↑ Sell
 Adidas281.60↑ Sell
 Lufthansa8.210Neutral
 Siemens AG148.76↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.080↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank5,600/ 5,665
(5,600/ 5,665) # 809
SJC HCM5,600/ 5,665
(0/ 0) # 830
SJC Hanoi5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Danang5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Nhatrang5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
SJC Cantho5,600/ 5,667
(0/ 0) # 832
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