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Dollar Down, Set for Weekly Fall as Interest Rate Hike Bets Firm

By Gina Lee AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia, set for its largest weekly fall in eight months. Investors trimmed long positions as they bet that...
Dollar Down, Set for Weekly Fall as Interest Rate Hike Bets Firm © Reuters.

By Gina Lee

AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia, set for its largest weekly fall in eight months. Investors trimmed long positions as they bet that several U.S. interest rate hikes are fully priced in for 2022.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.07% to 94.173 by 10:10 PM ET (3:10 AM GMT). It is down about 0.9% for the week and set for its largest weekly percentage fall since May 2021, halting an around six-month rally.

The JPY/USD pair was down 0.33% to 113.80.

The AUD/USD pair edged down 0.12% to 0.7275 and the NZD/USD pair inched down 0.07% to 0.6855.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.01% to 6.3605. Chinese data released earlier in the day showed that exports grew 20.9% year-on-year and imports grew 19.5% year-on-year in December. The trade balance was at $94.46 billion.

The GBP/USD pair edged up 0.15% to 1.3725. Confidence that the U.K. economy can withstand the latest COVID-19 outbreak and that the Bank of England could hike interest rates beginning in February 2022 has sustained the pound, despite the political crisis threatening Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s position.

With U.S. inflation at its highest level since the early 1980s, selling forced the dollar through key support against the euro. The single currency is up more than 0.8% for the week so far, trading at $1.1457.

Meanwhile, U.S. interest rate futures have all but locked in four interest rate hikes in 2022, supported by Fed officials including vice-chair nominee Lael Brainard.

"Investors appear to be signaling that ending quantitative easing, hiking rates four times, and commencing quantitative tightening all in the space of nine months is so aggressive that it will limit the scope for hikes further out," MUFG head of global markets research Derek Halpenny said in a note.

"It has in fact reinforced the belief that peak Fed funds will be below 2%… what can change this? We will need to see data on the economy that convinces the market of stronger growth. That could see thinking on the terminal fed funds rate shift higher. That would be the catalyst for renewed dollar strength,” the note added.

For the riskier Antipodean currencies, investors await labor and inflation data in both Australia and New Zealand later in the month.

"Further evidence of strength in the labor market will trigger expectations... for a potential positive shift in Reserve Bank of Australia rhetoric which will underpin the outlook for the Australian dollar," Rabobank FX strategist Jane Foley told Reuters.

"We expect AUD/USD to push higher to $0.74 in the second half of 2022."

Meanwhile, the Bank of Korea hiked its interest rate to 1.25%a as it handed down its policy decision earlier in the day.

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28-03-2024 17:05:27 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0776

-0.0050 (-0.47%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0776

-0.0050 (-0.47%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2600

-0.0039 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

151.45

+0.12 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6489

-0.0043 (-0.67%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3610

+0.0043 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

163.15

-0.60 (-0.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9763

-0.0023 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

2,218.60

+5.90 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

24.578

-0.174 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.9943

-0.0057 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.92

+0.57 (+0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

85.86

+0.45 (+0.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

1.692

-0.026 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

188.12

-2.53 (-1.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,099.25

+17.51 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

5,248.49

+44.91 (+0.86%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

DAX

18,496.14

+21.08 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,965.98

+34.00 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,114.35

+44.19 (+2.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

11,079.13

-32.17 (-0.29%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

BASF SE NA O.N.

53.120

-0.130 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

28.45

+0.03 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.77

+0.32 (+0.12%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

206.50

+1.80 (+0.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.288

+0.111 (+1.55%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

177.70

+0.78 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

14.665

+0.053 (+0.36%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

 EUR/USD1.0776Sell
 GBP/USD1.2600↑ Buy
 USD/JPY151.45↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6489Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3610↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY163.15↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9763↑ Sell
 Gold2,218.60↑ Buy
 Silver24.578↑ Buy
 Copper3.9943Sell
 Crude Oil WTI81.92↑ Buy
 Brent Oil85.86↑ Buy
 Natural Gas1.692↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.12↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,099.25↑ Buy
 S&P 5005,248.49↑ Buy
 DAX18,496.14↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,965.98↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,114.35↑ Buy
 IBEX 3511,079.13Neutral
 BASF53.120↑ Buy
 Bayer28.45↑ Sell
 Allianz277.77Sell
 Adidas206.50↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.288↑ Sell
 Siemens AG177.70↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.665Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,880/ 8,050
(0/ 0) # 1,444
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
(10/ 10) # 1,494
SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
(10/ 10) # 1,496
SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
(10/ 10) # 1,496
SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
(10/ 10) # 1,496
SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(10/ 10) # 1,496
Cập nhật 28-03-2024 17:05:29
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,197.90+6.880.31%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$81.67+4.230.05%
Brent$85.75+4.110.05%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.580,0024.950,00
EUR26.018,3427.446,04
GBP30.390,9531.684,00
JPY158,69167,96
KRW15,8419,20
Cập nhật lúc 17:01:37 28/03/2024
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