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Dollar ascendant as investors gear up for Fed

21 Tháng Chín 2022
Dollar ascendant as investors gear up for Fed © Reuters. Woman holds U.S. dollar banknotes in this illustration taken May 30, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar hovered near a two-decade peak against a basket of currencies on Wednesday, after yields on U.S. Treasuries leaped ahead of an interest rate decision that is likely to set the tone in financial markets for months to come.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was steady at 110.17 after a 0.57% overnight gain, and remained not far below a 20-year high of 110.79 hit this month.

Yields on the two-year U.S. Treasury notes, a rough gauge of interest rate expectations, hit 3.992% overnight, the highest since 2007, while yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose to 3.604%, the highest since 2011.

Higher yields increase the attraction of owning Treasuries and the dollars with which to buy them.

At 1800 GMT the Federal Reserve announces policy settings, and markets have fully priced in a 75 basis point (bp) rate increase, with a 19% chance of a 100 bp increase and a forecast for rates to peak around 4.5% by March 2023.

Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for where Fed officials see interest rates heading themselves.

"The next level we see the (U.S. dollar index) getting to in the near-term would be 112 points," said Kristina Clifton, a senior economist and senior currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY).

"If we do just get the 75 basis points from the Fed, it would take a fairly hawkish message to push the U.S. dollar up to that level."

Overnight Sweden's Riksbank surprised markets with a bigger-than-expected 100 bp increase, but it was little help to the currency - weighed by growth risks - which fell to a 20-year low after the decision.

Sterling last traded $1.1381, languishing near a 37-year low of $1.1351, while the euro was 0.02% lower at $0.9967, extending by a smidge its 0.56% fall overnight.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars were likewise nursing losses, with the Aussie up 0.16% to $0.6701 after a shedding 0.54% overnight.

The kiwi gained 0.14% to $0.5902, after falling 1% in the previous session and touching a more than two-year low of $0.5887. The Canadian dollar fell to a two-year low overnight after official data showed a surprise slowdown in inflation.

The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan will also announce policy decisions on Thursday, with markets split on the magnitude of a rate hike by the former while policymakers in Japan are expected to stand pat.

"Inflation has lifted, but I think that's largely been because of food and energy, so I think they're going to want to see inflation become a bit more broad-based before they change their policy stance," said Clifton, referring to the Bank of Japan.

Japan's core consumer inflation quickened to 2.8% in August, hitting its fastest annual pace in nearly eight years and exceeding the central bank's 2% target for a fifth straight month, data released on Tuesday showed.

The yen, which has fallen about 20% against the U.S. dollar this year, was marginally up by 0.1% at 143.56 per dollar, but remained not far off its 24-year low of 144.99.

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25-09-2022 17:20:18 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9690

-0.0146 (-1.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

0.9690

-0.0146 (-1.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.0858

-0.0399 (-3.54%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/JPY

143.34

+0.99 (+0.69%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6526

-0.0117 (-1.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.3591

+0.0103 (+0.77%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

138.90

-1.05 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9513

-0.0090 (-0.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,651.70

-29.40 (-1.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

18.835

-0.782 (-3.99%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Copper Futures

3.3485

-0.1225 (-3.53%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.43

-4.06 (-4.86%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

85.03

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

6.992

0.000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

220.15

-3.40 (-1.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,348.60

-78.54 (-2.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

S&P 500

3,693.23

-64.76 (-1.72%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

12,284.19

-247.44 (-1.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,018.60

-140.92 (-1.97%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,933.27

-214.68 (-1.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Small Cap 2000

1,676.17

-46.14 (-2.68%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,583.50

-191.20 (-2.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.790

-1.210 (-2.95%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

49.58

-1.92 (-3.74%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

168.74

-3.48 (-2.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

130.96

-2.50 (-1.87%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.674

-0.172 (-2.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

98.63

-0.43 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.632

-0.401 (-4.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 0.9690 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.0858 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 143.34 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6526 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3591 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 138.90 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9513 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,651.70 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.835 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3485 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.43 Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.03 Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.992 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 220.15 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,348.60 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,693.23 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 12,284.19 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,018.60 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,933.27 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,676.17 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 7,583.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 39.790 Neutral  
    Bayer 49.58 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 168.74 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 130.96 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.674 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 98.63 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.632 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,640
(6,540/ 6,640) # 1,917
SJC HCM6,580/ 6,660
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(0/ 0) # 1,941
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(0/ 0) # 1,941
SJC Nhatrang6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
SJC Cantho6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
Cập nhật 25-09-2022 17:20:20
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$1,643.90 -28.95 -1.73%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
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ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.32 0 0%
Brent $86.63 0 0%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.535,0023.845,00
EUR22.549,0423.811,27
GBP25.787,1626.886,30
JPY161,93171,43
KRW14,5317,70
Cập nhật lúc 16:39:16 25/09/2022
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