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Brazil inflation fight not over, faces serious recession risk -central bankers

16 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Brazil inflation fight not over, faces serious recession risk -central bankers © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Brazil's Central Bank President Roberto Campos Neto looks on before a ceremony to announce new measures for Brasil Empreendedor (Entrepreneurial Brazil) credit program at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil May 25, 2022. REUTERS/Adriano Ma

(Reuters) -Brazil's battle against inflation is not over and the country is at serious risk of recession if it does not adopt a clear fiscal anchor, central bank chief Roberto Campos Neto and former Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles said on Tuesday.

"Although much of the recent improvement in inflation is due to government measures, there are incipient indicators that show a qualitative improvement," Campos Neto told a business conference in New York, adding that it was too early to celebrate the improvement.

"We need to persist in fighting inflation, we need to persist in reaching our targets because this is the best way to contribute to sustainable growth," he said.

Brazil's consumer prices rose 6.5% in the 12 months through October, down from a peak of 12% in April.

Campos Neto also said that maintaining fiscal stability was important for social inclusion in Brazil, where President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has been criticized for a plan to ramp up social spending.

"Fiscal discipline is directly related to the country's credibility and there is a turning point where trying harder for the most needy can generate results contrary to what is desired, putting financial stability and job creation at risk," Campos Neto said.

Investors were spooked last week by Lula's spending plans and the leftist's apparent downplaying of the importance of fiscal prudence. Brazilian assets have since recovered.

"We understand that only a cohesive plan, with fiscal coherence and continuity of reforms, will ensure a sustainable growth trajectory with low inflation and low interest rates," Campos Neto said.

Later at the same event, Meirelles, a former Brazil cenbank chief, said the country would need to approve a waiver for higher spending in 2023, but stressed the approval of a clear fiscal anchor is essential.

"There has to be an anchor, there has to be a spending cap, the limit has to be clear because otherwise the country faces the serious risk of returning to an environment of recession," said Meirelles.

Last week, in comments that spooked markets, Meirelles said he was worried about the economy under Lula.

"I'm pessimistic, no doubt," he said in leaked comments to the media. "I can only say one thing to all of you: good luck."

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10-12-2022 06:16:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0534

-0.0022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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EUR/USD

1.0534

-0.0022 (-0.21%)

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↑ Buy

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1.2260

+0.0027 (+0.22%)

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USD/JPY

136.57

-0.07 (-0.05%)

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0.6796

+0.0028 (+0.41%)

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1.3652

+0.0057 (+0.42%)

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143.87

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71.59

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76.82

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3,942.62

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 EUR/USD1.0534↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2260↑ Sell
 USD/JPY136.57↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6796Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3652Neutral
 EUR/JPY143.87↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9844Neutral
 Gold1,809.40Neutral
 Silver23.680↑ Buy
 Copper3.8565↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI71.59Neutral
 Brent Oil76.82Neutral
 Natural Gas6.307↑ Sell
 US Coffee C157.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,942.62↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,934.38↑ Sell
 DAX14,370.72↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,476.63Buy
 Hang Seng19,900.87↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,800.80↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,289.20↑ Buy
 BASF47.720Neutral
 Bayer52.88↑ Buy
 Allianz204.70↑ Buy
 Adidas118.90↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.717Neutral
 Siemens AG133.44Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.140↑ Buy
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,690
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