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BOJ seen sticking to ultra-low rates, defy global rate hike rush

20 Tháng Chín 2022
BOJ seen sticking to ultra-low rates, defy global rate hike rush © Reuters. A man walks past Bank of Japan's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, June 17, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan is set to maintain ultra-low interest rates and its dovish policy guidance on Thursday, a decision that comes hours after its U.S. counterpart's expected big rate hike and could trigger a fresh bout of yen selling.

The policy gap between the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the U.S. Federal Reserve has pushed the yen to 24-year lows, driving up import costs and helping inflation stay above the BOJ's 2% target for five straight months in August.

Markets are focusing on whether BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will offer stronger warnings on the yen's sharp falls or tweak his view the recent cost-push inflation will be short-lived.

"Japan's consumer inflation is perking up at a faster than expected pace, partly due to the weak yen. It's becoming hard for the BOJ to keep saying price rises will remain temporary," said Mari Iwashita, chief market economist at Daiwa Securities.

At a two-day policy meeting ending on Thursday, the BOJ is set to maintain its short-term rate target at -0.1% and that for 10-year government bond yields around 0%. Kuroda will hold a news conference after the meeting.

The BOJ's decision will come hours after the Fed concludes its Sept. 20-21 meeting. Market players expect the U.S. central bank to raise rates by at least 75 basis points.

"Major central banks like the Fed and the Bank of England are about to continue shrinking their balance sheets. That puts the BOJ's dovish stance further under the spot-light," Iwashita said. "I don't think the dollar's uptrend is over."

The country's fragile recovery has forced the BOJ to remain an outlier among a global wave of central banks tightening monetary policy to combat surging inflation.

While Kuroda echoed the government's warning against sharp yen moves, he has pledged to keep monetary policy ultra-loose to support the economy - comments critics say dilute the impact of government officials' jawboning to tame yen falls.

At the policy meeting, the BOJ is expected to end as scheduled a pandemic-relief funding scheme this month and discuss adjustments to a policy guidance that flags the COVID-19 pandemic as the top economic risk.

But the BOJ is likely to leave unchanged key parts of the guidance that promises to ramp up stimulus as needed, and keep interest rates at "current or lower" levels, sources have told Reuters.

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03-10-2022 18:18:03 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9773

-0.0026 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

0.9773

-0.0026 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.1194

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

145.07

+0.32 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6451

+0.0049 (+0.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

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USD/CAD

1.3749

-0.0077 (-0.56%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

141.77

-0.07 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9672

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

Gold Futures

1,672.95

+0.95 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

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Silver Futures

19.418

+0.379 (+1.99%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Copper Futures

3.3750

-0.0375 (-1.10%)

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↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

82.92

+3.43 (+4.32%)

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↑ Buy

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Brent Oil Futures

88.56

+3.42 (+4.02%)

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↑ Buy

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Natural Gas Futures

6.543

-0.223 (-3.30%)

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US Coffee C Futures

220.85

-0.70 (-0.32%)

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↑ Buy

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,299.55

-18.65 (-0.56%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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S&P 500

3,585.62

-54.85 (-1.51%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

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Sell (7)

DAX

12,059.77

-54.59 (-0.45%)

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↑ Buy

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FTSE 100

6,852.70

-41.11 (-0.60%)

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↑ Buy

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Sell (0)

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Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,079.51

-143.32 (-0.83%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

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US Small Cap 2000

1,667.27

-7.66 (-0.46%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

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Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,385.00

+18.20 (+0.25%)

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↑ Buy

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BASF SE NA O.N.

40.205

+0.605 (+1.53%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

47.59

+0.18 (+0.38%)

Summary

Neutral

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.75

-1.05 (-0.65%)

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Neutral

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Adidas AG

116.20

-2.68 (-2.25%)

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Sell

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.534

-0.384 (-6.49%)

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Sell

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Siemens AG Class N

99.28

-1.92 (-1.90%)

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Buy

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Deutsche Bank AG

7.441

-0.205 (-2.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Sell (1)

 EUR/USD0.9773↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1194Sell
 USD/JPY145.07↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6451↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3749↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY141.77↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9672↑ Sell
 Gold1,672.95Neutral
 Silver19.418↑ Buy
 Copper3.3750↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI82.92↑ Buy
 Brent Oil88.56↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.543↑ Sell
 US Coffee C220.85↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,299.55↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,585.62↑ Sell
 DAX12,059.77↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,852.70↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,079.51↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,667.27↑ Sell
 IBEX 357,385.00↑ Buy
 BASF40.205↑ Sell
 Bayer47.59Neutral
 Allianz160.75Neutral
 Adidas116.20Sell
 Lufthansa5.534Sell
 Siemens AG99.28Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.441↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,620
(30/ 10) # 1,795
SJC HCM6,520/ 6,620
(-20/ -20) # 1,798
SJC Hanoi6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Danang6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Nhatrang6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
SJC Cantho6,520/ 6,622
(-20/ -20) # 1,800
Cập nhật 03-10-2022 18:18:07
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,664.48+0.180.01%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V22.12022.560
RON 95-III21.44021.860
E5 RON 92-II20.73021.140
DO 0.05S22.20022.640
DO 0,001S-V24.18024.660
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.68022.110
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$82.48-0.86-1.05%
Brent$88.22-0.61-0.69%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.730,0024.040,00
EUR22.844,1424.122,55
GBP25.913,3127.017,45
JPY160,53169,94
KRW14,3417,48
Cập nhật lúc 17:20:03 03/10/2022
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