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Blue Monday: Marketmind

26 Tháng Bảy 2022
Blue Monday: Marketmind © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The word Bourse is seen on a sign near the Palais Brongniart, former Paris Stock Exchange, located Place de la Bourse in Paris, France, August 6, 2018. REUTERS/Regis Duvignau/File Photo

A look at the day ahead in markets from Sujata Rao.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Sunday a recession is not inevitable but most economic data has been pointing the other way, including last week's dismal PMI readings in the United States and Europe.

Data or policymakers -- it's clear which of them markets believe.

Rate-sensitive short-dated bond maturities rallied last week while latest data showed speculators cutting bearish positions on short-dated Treasury futures. Interest rate futures now see the Fed funds rate peaking in January at about 3.38% -- Wednesday's projected 75 basis-point move will already take rates to 2.5%.

As for stocks, the easing in rate-hike bets lifted equity markets last week but the mood is sour on Monday for global stocks (down 0.2%) as well as Wall Street futures.

Focus now is likely to train on company earnings, with Europe's Q2 season kicking off in earnest and more tech mega-giants due to report stateside. Monday's crop of results saw Ryanair post a return to profit, while Dutch medical equipment maker Philips blamed supply shortages and Chinese lockdowns for its earnings drop.

Still some European companies, especially luxury purveyors such as LVMH and Hermes may find a silver lining in the euro's 10% year-to-date decline against the dollar with double-digit sales growth, partly offsetting the China effect.

The reverse is true across the Atlantic where companies are increasingly bemoaning dollar strength; Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) estimates each percentage-point of year-on-year increase in the dollar index cuts S&P 500 earnings growth by 0.5 percentage points.

But the poor global growth outlook implies the dollar will stay strong for a while yet. After this week's Fed statement, that may hinge on U.S. inflation easing or some truly horrendous economic growth prints.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

-WTO meeting until July 26

-Bank of Japan brings in less dovish board member

-German industry cuts production due to high energy prices -survey

-July German IFO business sentiment survey

-U.S. 2-year Treasury auction

-Europe Earnings: Ryanair, Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD), Christian Dior

-U.S. Earnings: Newmont Mining Corp, Whirlpool (NYSE:WHR), Logitech (NASDAQ:LOGI) Graphic: PMIs, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zdpxobgmovx/Pasted%20image%201658695330132.png

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15-08-2022 04:08:34 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0259

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0259

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2135

+0.0005 (+0.04%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

133.45

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.7117

-0.0004 (-0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.2773

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (2)

EUR/JPY

136.90

-0.02 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9657

+0.0001 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,818.40

+11.20 (+0.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

20.835

+0.486 (+2.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.6783

-0.0282 (-0.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

91.88

-2.46 (-2.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

98.01

-1.59 (-1.60%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

8.780

-0.094 (-1.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

227.53

+3.58 (+1.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,776.81

+19.76 (+0.53%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

4,280.15

+72.88 (+1.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,795.85

+101.34 (+0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,500.89

+34.98 (+0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,175.62

+93.19 (+0.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,013.09

+37.84 (+1.92%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,400.40

+20.40 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.155

+0.730 (+1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

54.15

+2.47 (+4.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.08

+2.08 (+1.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

173.20

+1.18 (+0.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.588

+0.062 (+0.95%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

111.84

+1.92 (+1.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.061

+0.197 (+2.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0259↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2135Sell
 USD/JPY133.45↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7117Neutral
 USD/CAD1.2773Sell
 EUR/JPY136.90↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9657↑ Sell
 Gold1,818.40↑ Buy
 Silver20.835↑ Buy
 Copper3.6783↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI91.88↑ Buy
 Brent Oil98.01Buy
 Natural Gas8.780↑ Buy
 US Coffee C227.53↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,776.81Sell
 S&P 5004,280.15↑ Buy
 DAX13,795.85Neutral
 FTSE 1007,500.89Neutral
 Hang Seng20,175.62↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,013.09↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,400.40↑ Sell
 BASF44.155↑ Buy
 Bayer54.15↑ Buy
 Allianz181.08↑ Sell
 Adidas173.20↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.588↑ Sell
 Siemens AG111.84↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG9.061↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,720
(6,620/ 6,720) # 1,655
SJC HCM6,660/ 6,760
(0/ 0) # 1,651
SJC Hanoi6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Danang6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Nhatrang6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
SJC Cantho6,660/ 6,762
(0/ 0) # 1,653
Cập nhật 15-08-2022 04:08:36
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Cập nhật lúc 18:54:11 14/08/2022
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