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Asian shares rise on signs of Fed slowdown; dollar down further

24 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Asian shares rise on signs of Fed slowdown; dollar down further © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People walk past an electric board showing Japan's Nikkei share average in Tokyo, Japan September 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares mostly tracked Wall Street higher on Thursday while a sell-off in the U.S. dollar was extended, as markets reacted to the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve soon slowing its pace of interest rate hikes.

European markets, however, are set for a cautious open, with the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures flat, German DAX futures up 0.1% and FTSE futures down 0.1%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.2%, boosted by a 1.0% gain in Japan's Nikkei. South Korean shares rose 0.9%.

Chinese property stocks rallied. The Hang Seng Mainland Property Index surged 5.3% after banks pledged at least $38 billion in fresh credit lines to cash-strapped developers.

The Bank of Korea reduced its pace of tightening by increasing interest rates only 25 basis points on Thursday, joining other central banks in moderating rate hikes as a global slowdown looms.

Overnight, minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest meeting also showed a "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers had agreed it would "likely soon be appropriate" to slow the pace of interest rate rises. That sent U.S. share and bond prices higher.

"If you are at the Fed, you'd be gnashing your teeth at seeing what happened last night in response to the FOMC minutes. The market latched on to one sentence, the dovish sounding one, and they ignored the hawkish sounding bits," said Rob Carnell, head of ING's Asia-Pacific research.

"So the reason for such a big rally, particularly in FX markets, with the dollar really giving up ground and equities rallying, is frankly a mystery."

The futures market showed a majority of investors expected the target U.S. federal funds rate would peak above 5% by next May, even as they priced in a 76% chance of a rise of 50 basis points to 4.25%-4.5% at the December policy meeting.

In Japan, data on Thursday showed manufacturing activity had contracted at the fastest pace in two years in November.

COVID cases continued to surge in China, reaching a record high, with the economic toll from mobility restrictions and lockdowns piling up.

Investors remained sceptical whether Beijing's plan to reduce banks' reserve requirement ratio would do much to restore economic growth while the government sticks to a zero-COVID policy.

The CSI300 index fell 0.3%, while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.1%.

The sell-off of the U.S. dollar continued, with the euro and the Japanese yen set to test major levels against the safe-haven greenback.

The euro rose 0.4% to $1.0437, edging closer to the recent four-month top of $1.048, while the dollar also weakened 0.6% against the Japanese yen to 138.74 yen.

Measured against the dollar index, a basket of currencies, the dollar slid 0.2%, after falling 1% overnight. [FRX/]

In the oil market, prices are set to test a major support level established in September. If they breach it, oil could tumble to levels not seen since before late 2021.

U.S. crude oil futures eased 0.2% to $77.74 per barrel, after tumbling more than 3% on Wednesday as the Group of Seven (G7) nations considered a price cap on Russian oil above the current market level. [O/R]

Brent crude futures fell 0.3% to $85.13.

In the bond market, long-term U.S. Treasuries rallied overnight after the Fed minutes. Yields on 10-year notes dropped to a huge 79-basis-point deficit relative to two-year yields. Such a curve inversion has not been seen since the dot-com bust of 2000 and, on the face of it, is a signal that investors expect a deep economic downturn in coming months.

U.S. markets will be closed for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday.

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08-12-2022 11:05:12 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0502

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0502

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2190

-0.0009 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/JPY

136.93

+0.34 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6715

-0.0006 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3685

+0.0034 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

143.80

+0.30 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9893

+0.0011 (+0.12%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,795.30

-2.70 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Silver Futures

22.802

-0.120 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.8500

+0.0052 (+0.14%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.76

+0.75 (+1.04%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

77.87

+0.70 (+0.91%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

5.905

+0.089 (+1.53%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (3)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

160.00

-3.50 (-2.14%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (7)

Indicators:

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Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,920.90

-18.29 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

S&P 500

3,933.92

-7.34 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (3)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

DAX

14,261.19

-82.00 (-0.57%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,489.19

-32.20 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Sell (12)

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Sell (8)

Hang Seng

19,338.00

+523.18 (+2.78%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,807.83

-4.75 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

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IBEX 35

8,290.50

-29.10 (0.00%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.425

-0.500 (-1.04%)

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52.80

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203.65

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Adidas AG

117.56

-1.50 (-1.26%)

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7.639

-0.081 (-1.05%)

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132.90

-0.86 (-0.64%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.966

-0.106 (-1.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0502 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2190 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 136.93 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6715 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3685 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 143.80 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9893 Sell  
    Gold 1,795.30 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 22.802 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8500 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 72.76 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 77.87 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 5.905 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 160.00 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,920.90 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,933.92 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,261.19 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,489.19 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 19,338.00 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,807.83 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,290.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 47.425 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 52.80 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 203.65 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 117.56 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.639 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 132.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.966 ↑ Sell  
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