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Asian shares extend global selloff amid bets on more aggressive Fed

14 Tháng Chín 2022
Asian shares extend global selloff amid bets on more aggressive Fed © Reuters. An electronic stock quotation board is displayed inside a conference hall in Tokyo, Japan November 1, 2021. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian shares tumbled, the dollar held firm and the U.S. yield curve was deeply inverted on Wednesday, as a white-hot U.S. inflation report dashed hopes for a peak in inflation and fuelled bets that interest rates may have to be raised higher and for longer.

U.S. Labor Department data showed on Tuesday the headline Consumer Price Index gained 0.1% on a monthly basis versus expectations for a 0.1% decline. In particular, core inflation, stripping out volatile food and energy prices, doubled to 0.6%.

Wall Street saw its steepest fall in two years, the safe-haven dollar posted its biggest jump since early 2020, and two-year Treasury yields, which rise with traders' expectations of higher Fed fund rates, jumped to the highest level in 15 years.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.3% in early Asia trade on Wednesday. Resources-heavy Australia plunged 2.8%, while Japan's Nikkei tumbled 2.7%.

Both S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures rose 0.1%, after a heavy sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 3.94%, the S&P 500 lost 4.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 5.16%.

"Markets have reacted violently to what I would consider to be a modest miss in U.S. CPI. Stocks and bonds were smoked, taken to the principal's office for a good old-fashioned, old-school pre-woke thrashing," said Scott Rundell, chief investment officer at Mutual Limited.

"Futures have stabilised, so we might see a dead-cat bounce tonight."

Financial markets now have fully priced in an interest rate hike of at least 75 basis points at the conclusion of the FOMC's policy meeting next week, with a 33% probability of a super-sized, full-percentage-point increase to the Fed funds target rate, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

"With another 75bp hike more than fully priced into the market following the CPI report, there is no reason for the Fed not to deliver another super-sized move," said Kevin Cummins (NYSE:CMI), chief U.S. Economist at NatWest Markets.

"We now expect the FOMC to follow up July's large 75bps rate increase with a similar 75bps move in November (up from our earlier 25bps call) and another 50bps in December to 4.25-4.50% (up from our earlier 25bps call)."

In the currency markets, the U.S. dollar held firm against a basket of major currencies at 109.9, after jumping 1.4% overnight on the surprisingly strong U.S. inflation report.

It hovered close to its 24-year peak against the rate-sensitive Japanese yen at 144.57 yen. The yen has been a victim of the dovish monetary stance from the Bank of Japan, in contrast with rate hikes elsewhere.

The two-year U.S. Treasury yield scaled a new 15-year high of 3.8040% on Friday, as the curve gap with the benchmark ten-year yields hovering around 34 basis points, compared with 16 bps a week ago.

The yield curve inversion is usually treated as a warning of recession.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose to 3.4448% compared with its U.S. close of 3.423% on Tuesday.

Oil prices recovered some ground on Friday, after falling in the previous session. U.S. crude settled up 0.4% at $87.63 per barrel and Brent settled at $93.44, up 0.3% on the day.

Gold was slightly higher. Spot gold was traded at $1701.7526 per ounce. [GOL/]

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25-09-2022 17:40:23 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9690

-0.0146 (-1.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

0.9690

-0.0146 (-1.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.0858

-0.0399 (-3.54%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/JPY

143.34

+0.99 (+0.69%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6526

-0.0117 (-1.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.3591

+0.0103 (+0.77%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

138.90

-1.05 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9513

-0.0090 (-0.94%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

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Gold Futures

1,651.70

-29.40 (-1.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

Silver Futures

18.835

-0.782 (-3.99%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

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Copper Futures

3.3485

-0.1225 (-3.53%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.43

-4.06 (-4.86%)

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Sell

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Brent Oil Futures

85.03

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

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Natural Gas Futures

6.992

0.000 (0.00%)

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US Coffee C Futures

220.15

-3.40 (-1.52%)

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Sell (8)

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Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,348.60

-78.54 (-2.29%)

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Sell (12)

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S&P 500

3,693.23

-64.76 (-1.72%)

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↑ Buy

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DAX

12,284.19

-247.44 (-1.97%)

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Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,018.60

-140.92 (-1.97%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,933.27

-214.68 (-1.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Sell (7)

US Small Cap 2000

1,676.17

-46.14 (-2.68%)

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

7,583.50

-191.20 (-2.46%)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

39.790

-1.210 (-2.95%)

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Neutral

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Bayer AG NA

49.58

-1.92 (-3.74%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

168.74

-3.48 (-2.02%)

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Adidas AG

130.96

-2.50 (-1.87%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.674

-0.172 (-2.94%)

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Siemens AG Class N

98.63

-0.43 (-0.43%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

8.632

-0.401 (-4.44%)

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Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 0.9690 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.0858 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 143.34 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6526 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3591 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 138.90 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9513 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,651.70 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.835 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3485 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.43 Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.03 Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.992 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 220.15 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,348.60 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,693.23 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 12,284.19 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,018.60 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,933.27 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,676.17 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 7,583.50 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 39.790 Neutral  
    Bayer 49.58 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 168.74 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 130.96 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.674 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 98.63 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.632 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,540/ 6,640
(6,540/ 6,640) # 1,917
SJC HCM6,580/ 6,660
(0/ 0) # 1,939
SJC Hanoi6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
SJC Danang6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
SJC Nhatrang6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
SJC Cantho6,580/ 6,662
(0/ 0) # 1,941
Cập nhật 25-09-2022 17:40:25
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,643.90 -28.95 -1.73%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.32 0 0%
Brent $86.63 0 0%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.535,0023.845,00
EUR22.549,0423.811,27
GBP25.787,1626.886,30
JPY161,93171,43
KRW14,5317,70
Cập nhật lúc 16:39:16 25/09/2022
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